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November 30, 2005
Calculated Miscalculation
In a Weekly Standard piece William Kristol puts forward the theory that Nancy Pelosi, the House Minority Leader, has effectively doomed any chance the Democratic Party had of capturing the House of Representatives in 2006. How does Kristol think she accomplished this? By suggesting a timetable for the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq. Kristol then goes on to contradict himself by explaining how Pelosi may have staked out the superior position for her party:
it is possible that the situation in Iraq will worsen over the next year. If that happens, Bush and the GOP are in deep trouble. They would have been if Pelosi had said nothing. But it is much more likely that the situation in Iraq will stay more or less the same, or improve. In either case, Republicans will benefit from being the party of victory.
The ignorance of guerilla conflicts inherent in the claim that Iraq will "stay more or less the same" is mind-blowing. If the Democrats claim the House, the GOP will have its own intelligentsia to blame.
Posted by Audi Partem Alteram at November 30, 2005 05:25 PM
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